The feared attack on roof-top solar has materialized. We covered it in the proposal stage in December 2022 here. Now the chickens are coming home to roost. One has to go through a lot of mental gyrations to think this is good for the environment, grid security or the threatened move to electric heat and appliances in homes. The Ninth Circuit Court has stunted the later move for now, but look what has been done to people's desire for some degree of grid independence:
Bay Area rooftop-solar businesses are reeling from a statewide change that gutted compensation for homeowners returning surplus power to the electrical grid, causing applications for new solar to plunge to a 10-year low and leading to layoffs in an industry that had expected to lead the vanguard toward more sustainable, environmentally friendly energy use.
Owners of residential solar systems had been receiving enough utility credits to pay for most systems in seven years, industry representatives said, but for systems ordered after April 15, 2023, it will take 11 years. Residents with systems predating the change will continue to receive the same compensation.
“They clobbered the economics,” said Barry Cinnamon, owner of rooftop-solar company Cinnamon Energy Systems in Los Gatos.
Sales of rooftop-solar setups have plummeted about 80% since the commission shrank by 75% the compensation new solar owners get for surplus power, the California Solar & Storage Association said. The group estimated 2,700 jobs have been lost in the Bay Area, of 17,000 statewide. Nearly 13 million homes in California have solar, according to the Solar Energy Industries Association.
There are varying estimates of how many California homes have solar. I think that 13 million is a typo or they are counting multi-family differently. Another estimate puts it at 6.3 million and says that is 45% of all homes. Other estimates put it closer to 40%. Either way, there is a long way to go. With the much longer payback period the rate of adoption will stay slower except in new construction where it started to be required in 2020. Now we can expect new housing prices to go up even faster than before. What a stupid move.


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