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The steady drumbeat of bad news just keeps getting worse. This week a new, worst-case number KTLA is reporting a possible hit of $231 billion! They report

In a newly proposed business plan released this year, project leaders estimate the Los Angeles-to-San Francisco segment will cost about $126 billion, with service beginning around 2040. In the meantime, the state is focused on getting the Bakersfield-to-Merced section up and running earlier, with a target of no later than 2033. All of this falls under what officials are calling an “optimized plan,” which reduces the scope of the original proposal. Under the updated plan, some segments would share tracks with existing systems such as Metrolink, and the number of tunnels would be scaled back, at least for now. Project leaders say those changes could significantly reduce costs. Without them, officials estimate the full Los Angeles-to-San Francisco buildout could have cost as much as $231 billion.

You would not be wrong to ask why, at this stage of the game, they are still tweaking the design? It’s the shockingly bad management we have some to expect along with the waste noted in Part 167. The latest circus act was reported in the Comicle this week involving Cesar Chavez of all people and his 187-acre monument. The headline read “Add a $1 billion detour for California high-speed rail to Cesar Chavez’s legacy”:

Add one more twist to the complicated legacy of disgraced civil rights icon Cesar Chavez: A reroute around his grave site has inflated the cost of California’s high-speed rail project by nearly $1 billion. Ironically, Chavez’s monument already sits on a key rail corridor that carries about 36 freight trains each day through the rugged Tehachapi. A single track loops around the property, creating a constant rumble for anyone walking among the Mission-style buildings and courtyards where Chavez lived and organized grape-field workers. Through letters and stakeholder meetings, the Chavez Center and the Cesar Chavez Foundation successfully lobbied for a bespoke alignment called the “refined Cesar Chavez National Monument design option,” which moved the track about three-quarters of a mile away from the monument boundary.  Board directors for the High-Speed Rail Authority adopted the alternative design in 2021, as part of a final environmental impact report for the 80-mile Bakersfield to Palmdale (Los Angeles County) section. Now, some rail authority staff or board members might call for a do-over.

Here’s the mindset on the Authority Board:

“We are constantly reviewing decisions that we’ve made along that alignment,” said board director Henry Perea, pointing to other potential revisions, such as the relocation of a future train stop in Merced. Plans that are really lines and dots on draft paper are always subject to change, Perea noted, particularly if policymakers are seeking to save money, or trying to acknowledge a historical wrong.

Will any gubernatorial candidate with a D after their name have the guts to say we should just cut bait on this monstrosity? We only have a month to go until the primary.

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4 responses to “High-cost rail – Part 168 Billions more”

  1. Joe

    And there’s this from today’s California Post:

    California Gov. Gavin Newsom walked into friendly territory — and still got hammered.

    During a Friday night appearance on “Real Time with Bill Maher,” the Democrat was supposed to plug his memoir and trade political jabs. Instead, host Bill Maher put Newsom on the spot over the very issues dogging his leadership in the state.

    Maher, who’s previously encouraged Newsom to run for president, didn’t hold back, especially when it came to California’s long-troubled high-speed rail project.

    “I mean the train! Gavin, you got to get rid of the train!” Maher said. “I say this as a friend, you got to let that train go! Let the train go.”

    “It’s up to $231 billion.”

    The moment appeared to catch Newsom off guard, his expression shifting as the criticism landed.

  2. Joe

    Oh Dear. Has Xavier Becerra ever managed the building of anything? Anything? Here he’s speechifying in the Central Valley yesterday:

    “The heartbeat of much of California is here in the Central Valley as it is anywhere else,” Becerra said. “So I’m not going to forget the Valley. It is my home. I was raised in the Valley myself.”

    Among the biggest topics discussed was California’s embattled High-Speed Rail project, which has faced mounting criticism for ballooning costs, delays and uncertainty over when construction will be completed.

    “I’m going to scrap the current configuration, and I’m going to make sure we finish,” Becerra said. “But we’ve got to do it on budget and on time.”
    ———————————-
    Dude, we are way passed “on budget and on time” and cutting a bunch of new change orders will only exacerbate the problem. Just so much Hot Air.

  3. Joe

    We now have a new chairman of the CHSRA who is an old, old buddy of Gov. Newsom. There’s nothing in his background to indicate he knows how to run a railroad. From KCRA’s Ashley Zavala reporting on the last meeting:

    California High-Speed Rail Authority Board has a new chairman, Steve Kawa. Kawa has worked in politics for decades with Gavin Newsom. Board unanimously voted him in. The change is sudden and not clear what happened to the last chair, Tom Richards. He’s not here.
    —————————
    They also waved through another $3.5B for a single-qualified bidder to actually start laying track. “Kiewit, Stacy Witbeck, Herzog” must be some spin-off of Peter Kiewit Construction that has been doing massive projects like fiber optic builds for decades. They probably added a woman and a minority to the firm for just these kinds of public bids.

  4. Jennifer Pfaff

    Lots of profiteering going on… the endless stream of HSR Authority Board chairmen playing musical chairs (at our cost) is shameful. How many does this make by now? A dozen, perhaps!?! BTW, perhaps you missed the recent news blurb announcing that CALTRANS is taking things into their own hands by conceiving of a 140 MPH high speed BULLET BUS system using their already extant freeway system. They acknowledge, of course, that the desired speeds would be limited to far lower speeds, until some necessary infrastructure repairs would take place (potholes?). This reminds me of that wonderful (SNL “ish”) video clip from several years ago showing buses with snap-on HSR pointy train faces.

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