Month: October 2011

  • The League of Women Voters' candidates' debate is a local favorite during election season.  Unlike the newspaper endorsement interviews and the union-hack interviews, these are public and those attending get to submit questions.  The questions don't always get asked and sometimes don't get answered when they are asked, but it's fun either way.

    See you in Council Chambers on Wednesday, October 26th at 7pm.  It usually goes about 90 minutes.  The interesting thing this year will be how long the candidates get to give their stump speeches and handle each question since there are only three of them.  Plenty of time for a change!

     

  • From today's SF Examiner, we read

    A new report says California’s proposed high-speed railroad could cost state taxpayers more than three times the official $43 billion cost projection.

    This $138 billion estimate comes from a trio of Bay Area analysts who have followed the project, which was conceived to carry residents from San Francisco to Los Angeles in about 2½ hours.

    but my favorite part is high-cost rail fanatic Ron Diridon's fanatical reaction

    Former authority board member Rod Diridon conceded that the true cost will be well more than the original $43 billion projection, but wouldn’t venture an exact forecast. However, he thought federal funding would open up for the project within four to five years, once the “fanaticism of the tea party” has worn off in Washington.

    But Diridon said Warren and his colleagues aren’t qualified to make projections for the project.

    But as we leave the Diridon-alternate reality and come back to earth, here is another link that is making the rounds among those of us who live in the real world.  I wasn't familiar with The Planning Report, but Katz' comments are interesting, particularly after he non-answers the first part

    The second part of your question: “should it be dead?” You know, it’s going to die on its own, the rate that it’s going. The problem is Brown realized this late because he took the view at the beginning that this was Arnold’s train: he fought for it; he wanted it. Someday someone will be able to explain to me why the President of the United States thinks this is his “Go to the Moon” project à la Kennedy because it’s nothing like that. But he’s holding onto it like it is, the way it is. 

    and then

    If they’re not in the ground turning dirt by September, Jerry has to write a three-and-a-half billion-dollar check and give it back to the feds.

    Jerry, get our checkbook out…time to start writing that 10 digit check.

  • Here is an Oakland Tribune editorial that has the ring of real-world sensibility to it.

    A budget land mine is in the path of California's fiscal future. It's been there for several months waiting to go off on schedule in January. It's the budget trigger that could mandate up to $2.5 billion in additional state spending cuts, most of which would be borne by already diminished K-12 education funding.

    Gov. Jerry Brown's and the Legislature's hope was that somehow an additional $4 billion in previously unanticipated capital gains tax revenues would appear in time to defuse the trigger.  But as the state's weak economy continues without significant recovery in sight, it is, or should be, clear that billions of extra tax money is not forthcoming.

    I missed this next part, but it is unfortunate that the Supreme Court keeps meddling in things they have no real-world understanding of

    Adding to the state's fiscal woes, the California Supreme Court stayed legislation that dissolved California Redevelopment Agencies. That means the state won't be able to grab $1.7 billion from redevelopment districts.

    The money that wasn't there in June, when the budget was passed is still not there today and is not likely to be there before the December deadline on deciding whether to deploy the trigger in January.  It was a mistake to rely on rosy capital gains tax projections to balance a state budget, as their record of volatility demonstrates.

    Boy is that an understatement–too bad more newspaper editorial boards (like our local ones) don't understand this!

    But the worst is yet to come. If the trigger is pulled in January, K-12 schools might lose up to $1.5 billion in funding and be forced to cut their academic years by seven days. However, even that would not be enough to accommodate the trigger.

    What is most dismaying is that the budget land mine that is about to explode in January is not a one-time disaster. Unless there is a major overhaul of fixed state costs, such as pensions, there will be no real fiscal relief for years to come.

    California also needs to place a freeze on selling bonds, including the $10 billion bond authorized to build the state's high-speed rail boondoggle. Interest on state debt is at a high 7.8 percent of budget, nearly twice the national average even with low interest rates. It cannot be allowed to grow.

    We hope that should the current budget implode that at least some lessons will be learned and that the necessity for structural reforms finally will lead to action.

    Sorry for the Monday morning downer…………….

  • Since famous people tend to die in threes, I'm sort of waiting for the last shoe to drop, but in the meantime Al Davis and Steve Jobs certainly made an impact on the Bay Area.  Jobs had a global impact, but it is reflected locally by these flowers in front of the B'game Ave Apple store.

    Apple Store_Job Memorial 

  • I forgot to check with Secretary of State's website for the alphabetical drawing to determine the ballot order, so here it is

    Ricardo Ortiz

    Terry Nagel

    Jerry Deal

    The "O" was drawn fifth, the "N" was 21st and the "D" was 25th.  Some people believe the top spot can be worth as much as an extra 10% of the vote.

  • When reading the B'game City Council candidates' campaign statements in the sample ballot brochure, one thing that jumps off the page is how Jerry Deal and Ricardo Ortiz are clear and firm on their opposition to High Cost Rail.  Terry Nagel doesn't mention the topic in her statement.  The Fresno City Council got a briefing from its public works director this week and here is what the Bee Blog captured.

    Here's a hint of what Mozier said:

    * Hundreds of businesses will be displaced.

    * Many more will lose a portion of their property.

    * City Hall's planning department can't speedily handle all the paperwork when businesses seek new locations.

    * City Hall doesn't have enough planners to deal with one of the largest public works projects in the state's history and do the rest of the city's planning business.

    * There's no guarantee the displaced businesses will stay in Fresno.

    * Traffic on every street anywhere near construction of the rail line will be stopped or slowed.

    Please do click through to read the whole thing since there is much more to ponder as you ponder your sample ballot!

  • The Caltrain funding saga has a long history.  But news reported in the Daily Journal  this week of increased ridership (up 13% year-over-year) and commitments from the three partners appear to have made the number for another year

    To close next year’s deficit, the three agencies that support the rail line, SamTrans, San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency and the Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority have agreed to contribute $33.5 million to the fiscal year 2012-13 operations budget, up from the $25.4 million the three agencies contributed this year.

    Caltrain closed last year’s nearly $30 million deficit with one-time fund swaps approved by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission.

    Moving forward, budget deliberations will include changes in the formula used to determine how much each partner will pay toward the operations of Caltrain. VTA has also agreed to discuss resumption of the full cost of operating service to Gilroy.

    For FY 2012-13, SamTrans will contribute $14 million to Caltrain; SF Muni will contribute $5.8 million; and VTA will contribute $13.7 million.

    Could it be that the impending demise of High Cost Rail woke up SamTrans, SF Muni and the VTA to the fact that they need to do this on their own?  Probably not, but it does make one wonder what changed from last February?

  • The campaign accounting statements for this year's City Council race have been filed for the period ending September 29th.  That five-weeks-to-election day view is a good gauge of who has marshalled what resources, but by no means is it the final word.  The best view of the situation comes by directly viewing the Form 460s on the city website.  The tally thus far is:

    Jerry Deal:  raised $19,275 year to date and has a $10,000 loan and $500 in non-monetary contributions for a total of about $30K.  Deal has spent about $17K which includes the major expense for flyers and probably postage ($10K).

    Terry Nagel:  raised $9,641 year to date and received $1,425 in non-monetary contributions.  Expenditures of $6,645 so far went mostly for signs and other printing, but probably not postage yet which is often a major campaign expense.

    Ricardo Ortiz:  raised $3,115 year to day and has a $2,000 loan.  The stated expenses of $2,350 include mostly signage which may not leave much for postage costs in the stretch run.

    The cash on hand totals would seem to indicate we won't be inundated with mailers this time around.

  • I had a chance to watch a bunch of sea lions in San Diego this weekend and they are fun.  But the news reports of the visitor we had right here in B'game don't indicate our own "Broadway Bound" had much fun lately.  According to the Chronic

    An intrepid sea lion that flopped across eight lanes of traffic on Highway 101 in Burlingame Saturday was suffering from a gunshot wound, officials at the Marine Mammal Center said Monday.
    and

    The gunshot wound is not necessarily the reason Broadway Bound decided to cross the road, Oswald said. She might have been suffering brain seizures from eating fish sickened by toxic algae, a condition common among sea lions, he said. Veterinarians are awaiting her test results.

    Anyway you look at it B'way Bound is cute.  Here's a photo from a local source at BPD

    Sea lion 

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