Category: Elections

  • The natural gas "stove grabbers" had a bad day on Election Day as Washington State passed Initiative 2066 by 3% and Berkeley gave a gas tax a big thumbs down.  Californian politicians like to say we lead the nation in implementing change, but perhaps Washington is leading this time around.  About the initiative, the WSJ noted before the election

    Anthony Anton, CEO of the (Washington state) hospitality association, says 84% of the restaurateurs he represents rely on natural gas. Remodeling to go electric is a “massive cost at a time where operators just can’t afford it,” he says. Some say the quality of their product would suffer, as some cooking methods, such as stir-frying, are difficult to perform on lower-heat electrical stoves. Most of the association’s members are very small businesses with substantial debt from Covid lockdowns.

    The building association worries the new energy code will raise the state’s already high housing costs, locking out potential buyers. The code requires that new buildings meet a certain environmental “score.” Without the points from an electric heat pump, a builder will have to make up the difference with other green measures that run between $15,000 and $20,000 in a single-family home. “Every time they raise the price $1,000, it prices out another 500 Washington families,” says Greg Lane, the association’s executive vice president.

    The Washington State Tree Fruit Association is concerned about rising costs of refrigeration to keep produce fresh. A sudden power outage could be catastrophic for the state’s apple industry. Trade regulations for its top two export markets require that fruit be constantly refrigerated at a specific temperature for as long as 90 days.

    The state’s cheapest energy plan would almost double electricity demand in Washington by 2050, putting an unprecedented strain on the grid.

    The Seattle Times writes "Initiative 2066 adds provisions to state law that explicitly protect access to natural gas and ensure that local governments and the state’s energy code cannot “prohibit, penalize or discourage the use of gas.”"

    And over in Berkeley, they had their own Measure GG which the Comicle notes is going down bigly at 70/30 opposed.  Per the Comicle:

    Measure GG would assess a special tax on buildings of 15,000 square feet or more that use gas for heating or other purposes, with exceptions for single-family homes, residential buildings with at least 50% affordable units and government buildings.  The measure required a simple majority to pass, but as of Friday the opposition was winning 68% of votes, with 32% in favor.  The tax would amount to nearly $3 per therm, which is more than double typical natural gas retail prices from Pacific Gas & Electric Co.

    There are so many Unintended Consequences and unseen-by-politicians costs to these poorly thought-out initiatives, but voters appear to be figuring some of them out and sending them down in flames.  Hopefully the new B'game city council will leave this issue in the off position.

  • We are in the home stretch of campaign season 2024 with two weeks to go.  It is another district-based election for city council with two of the five districts engaged in competitive races.  (Yet again, one district only has one candidate who wins by default).  As of September 3rd, the number of registered voters in each district is:

    District 1        3,889

    District 2        3,519

    District 3        4,157

    District 4        3,597

    District 5        3,900

    ————————-

    Total                19,062

    District 2 is where the action is at for city council with four candidates vying for the seat.  If we assume a couple of hundred additional registrations after 9/3 and 85% turnout, which is common in presidential years, it will probably mean a city council seat can be won with about 30% of the votes cast or about 950 votes.  Such is the effect of district elections foisted upon us by a Malibu lawyer exploiting a loophole provided by Sacramento.  Here's hoping the uncontested seats and small vote counts enlighten the state legislature to change the law.  A minimum population of 100,000 sounds like a reasonable floor.  Get out and vote!

    2024 Campaign signs

  • When I read headlines like 7 in 10 residents say the region’s quality of life is getting worse, I think about how bad the roads have become (looking at you, El Camino), how poorly many government agencies are being run, how much traffic there is, how we are losing control of our local voting and zoning, and public safety.  School quality, water security, utility costs—the list is long.  Having spent years in market research, I know a poll can be tweaked in any number of ways from who gets polled to how the questions and multiple-choice answers are phrased to who does the analysis of the results.  The Merc reported on the latest public sentiment here.  It notes

    According to the poll, 70% of registered voters said the Bay Area’s quality of life has worsened over the past five years, while just 13% said it has improved. Seventeen percent said it’s stayed the same.

    A whopping 46% of respondents said they were likely to leave the Bay Area in the next few years, with two-thirds of those citing high housing costs as the main reason to consider a move. During the pandemic, people fleeing the region contributed to a 3% population drop, though that exodus has since slowed.  When asked to select ways the region might best be improved, respondents’ top choice at 39% was building more affordable housing.

    Of course, that means 61% chose something other than to jam more people into the Bay Area.  See how the reporting can spin the story?  If the other choices had overlap to split the responses, 39% starts to look big.

    Homeowners in the poll (note, that percentage is not revealed) also said the state’s home insurance meltdown is hitting their finances. Fifty-two percent said their home insurance premiums have increased significantly, 22% said they have avoided using their home insurance policy out of fear of cancellation or rising rates, 12% said they’ve had a difficult time finding an insurer to write them a policy and 8% said an insurer had canceled a policy.

    Insurance has been slipping down a slippery slope for years with no real solution from the state. And many renters don't realize their rent is tied to the insurance on their apartment.  Then there is this bit of Sacramental hand-waving following on the heels of even more restrictions on drilling.  When you leave the state the gas prices are almost unreal—unreal low.

    To prevent spikes in gas prices, state lawmakers are now considering a plan from Gov. Gavin Newsom to force oil refiners to keep minimum fuel reserves, though doing so likely wouldn’t lower overall prices at the pump.

    The piece finishes off by describing some people who think Silicon Valley giants are "villains" who have "lost their moral compass".  I can't understand where that is coming from or what it has to do with the quality of life in the Bay Area.  At least the piece noted huge support for Prop. 36 to get the organized theft back under control and remove the locked plastic doors protecting shampoo and deodorant.  The big question remains how many people we should jam into the Peninsula?  The RHNA requirements are nonsense, but they are driving down the quality of life for long-time residents who look at things like this on the north end and wonder "why"?  That's the B'game police building in the front.

    Monster building over PD

  • Way back in the day we had two three local papers:  The Boutique & Villager-Independent, the San Mateo County Times and the Daily Journal.  They often endorsed different candidates providing fodder for the mailers to say "Endorsed by _____".  The last rag standing is the DJ, so voters who rely on their local editor and reporters for guidance now look only to the Daily Journal.  The DJ's endorsements this cycle are a bit light on detail but seem directionally sound.  Endorsing Donna Colson for D4 is a no-brainer.  I would go so far as to say the write-up understates her value to the council.  Beyond the "she listens to everyone with a smile" and " is not trying to please everyone" lies impressive energy–being out and about all the time–and "hard skills" in finance, regulation, electric service with PCE, labor relations, etc. etc.  The fact that she has token opposition gave her a chance to hit the streets and campaign hard anyway.

    District 2 is a real race with four candidates.  Nirmala is somewhat of a known quantity having run before, but the other three are newcomers.  I have interviewed Desiree Thayer and found her to be intelligent and dedicated–she claims to have attended every city council meeting for the last two years.  That alone is a big plus.  Her work experience resonated with me as showing skills that would benefit the council as well.  I would have liked to interview the others, but time is running out.  If it happens, I'll let you know.  In the meantime, some election information can be found on the city site here.  I'm also hunting around for the recording of the D2 candidates' forum from Wednesday night.  If you have the link, please post it in comments.

  • Lawn signs are the most visible part of election season.  I've planted (and picked up) hundreds of them in legal places.  The old saying "Signs don't vote" is partially true.  They have some value and give some sense of where a property owner's sentiments lay.  They can get out of hand especially when a property owner decides to have some fun by posting a lot of them including for competing candidates like here.

    But illegally placed signs in the street tree median strips (city property) and, say, the Caltrans right of way just demonstrate inexperience.  One would think a Caltrans employee would know where the right of way is and not plant his signs on it.  Gotta love the Caltrans hard hat in the photo.

    Illegal Paul sign

  • One of the side effects of "district" elections appears to be a lot fewer contested elections.  For B'game city council, we have races for two out of three seats this time, but at the school board level–Burlingame and SMUSHD–not so much.  The DJ gives the run down

    In the Burlingame School District, all trustee races are unopposed. Chaitanya Bhuskuyte is running for Area 2 seat, Katie Jay is running for Area 3, and Nicole Mustafa is running for Area 5.

    The San Mateo Union High School District will likely see the same board as it has the past two years, with incumbents Greg Land and Ligia Andrade Zúñiga running again in their respective trustee areas unopposed.

    If you are still trying to figure out how two candidates in a town of 31,400 people that live maybe a mile apart differ in skills and abilities because of their addresses, join the club.  Would the races be more crowded without the arbitrary address limits?  There's no way to be sure, but as far as school boards go, you couldn't have less choice.

  • Here at the Voice, we love election season.  The pomp and circumstance of the filings, the mailers, the signs, the debates and the counting on November 5th or perhaps even longer keep everyone engaged.  With our messed-up district election changeover it's not quite as exciting as before and we certainly have each lost 80% of our say in who gets elected.  But you play with the roster you have, not the roster you wish you had (hat tip Donald Rumsfeld).  The filing deadline was last Friday, so the DJ has assembled the roster as follows:

    Burlingame Councilmember Andrea Pappajohn, who was appointed earlier this year to replace Ricardo Ortiz in the District 1 seat, is now running to complete the term, which ends November 2026.  (i.e. unopposed, so she is in).

    There’s a crowded race for the Burlingame City Council’s District 2 seat: business owners Rachel Ni, Hadia Khoury and Nirmala Idumalla Bandrapalli, as well as scientist and educator Desiree Thayer are all in the mix.

    Current Burlingame Mayor Donna Colson is running to hold on to her District 4 seat against senior transportation engineer Tony Paul.

    Nirmala ran back in 2015 garnering 20.9% in a four-way race to finish out of the money in third place.  The rest of the challengers are newcomers.  That means we have our work cut out for us vetting the challengers and evaluating Donna Colson's record to date.  Should be fun!

    The Daily Journal followed up the next day with a more detailed piece on the candidates that can be found here.

    2025 CC slate

  • We noted that the real action County-wide and State-wide in the Fall election is in the propositions and initiatives since the candidate voting is pretty much a given.  B'game will have a real race or two, but outside our little town there is a lot of fait accompli.  But one controversial move that will not be on the ballot is the County land grab for "affordable housing".  The DJ is noting that the Supes, in their wisdom, have decided to "pause" their land grab.

    Despite a poll suggesting majority voter support, San Mateo County will not be placing a measure on November ballots allowing the development of low-income housing units without voter approval, in pursuant of Article 34 of the state Constitution.  The measure, initially presented at a special meeting of the board July 22, would have provided authorization for the county and other public agencies to construct or acquire affordable rental housing for low-income residents — up to 1% of total existing housing units — without voter consideration. 

    Although Chief Executive Officer Mike Callagy maintained Article 34 “has no place in this county,” he did not ask the Board of Supervisors to consider approving such a measure placement this election cycle.

    One has to wonder what other bits and pieces of the state Constitution have no place in San Mateo County?  Perhaps we could get a list?  The usual blather about "racism in homeownership" and "constituent confusion" and wanting to be "collaborative" with local cities and not "usurp their authority" ensued. The reality is the November ballot is already stuffed with pork.  So much so that voters are likely to Just Say No to the whole lot.  Half Moon Bay and Millbrae led the public charge against this land grab.  Here's hoping B'game electeds did so quietly but firmly.

  • The La Quinta dogfight in Millbrae described a year ago here that pits the city against the county over tax revenue and homeless housing has given us an unintended view of the future.  The move to district elections at the city level was clearly voter suppression–taking away 80% of any individual's votes for city council and creating tiny little districts supposedly to improve "equity".  Couple the two issues together and we now see that recalling elected officials gets easier.  One hot-button issue can spin up enough people in one (or in this case two) tiny districts easily enough to qualify for a recall election.

    I will skip the personalities involved, but the Daily Journal piece also shows the cost of these efforts at municipal self-determination and running special elections:

    Millbrae is also embroiled in ongoing litigation against the county for choosing to move forward with the project — which the county intends to fund through still in-flux Project Homekey money, as it has done at several other locations throughout the county.   The lawsuit, which has cost the city $230,000 as of May, City Manager Tom Williams said previously, alleges that Millbrae residents have a right to vote on whether they want the housing project in their community under Article 34 of the state Constitution. 

    (Councilmember) Cahalan said she’d wait to see the results of the lawsuit — which the presiding judge said would be returned by June 26 — before commenting further on the project.

    And on the cost front:

    The special election will cost the city approximately $143,000. The councilmember will be recalled if more than 50% of the votes are in favor. Once they are removed, the positions will be vacant until it is filled by appointment or an election to the unexpired terms.

    While that sounds like a lot of money, remember Millbrae would stand to lose $750,000 every year in perpetuity from the lost hotel tax.  One wonders if the Malibu attorney behind the move to tiny little districts had this in mind? 

    Millbrae recall

  • You know things are getting bad in Sacramento when even the SF Comicle starts calling out the legislature as "shady".  An initiative to reverse Prop. 47, which was approved by our clueless electorate a decade ago to reduce the penalties on drug offenses and theft, is headed for the November ballot.  As we noted, the action on the ballot this Fall is in the initiatives.  The shady bits to stymie the initiative are slowing coming out as even Emily Hoeven at the Comicle has caught on:

    Earlier this year, lawmakers unveiled a bipartisan package of bills that would, among other things, create a new crime for serial retail thieves, allow prosecutors to combine certain low-level thefts when charging offenders, permit courts to issue retail theft restraining orders and institute sentencing enhancements for those who steal, resell and destroy especially large amounts of property.  Thus far, the package has been smoothly chugging through the Legislature. 

    But Democrats have now cooked up a scheme to kill most of their own bills if voters approve a ballot measure to reform Proposition 47 — the controversial 2014 initiative that reduced penalties for some drug and theft offenses — which formally qualified Tuesday for the November election.

    Last week, news leaked that Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas and Senate President Pro Tem Mike McGuire planned to amend the Democratic public safety package to make it effective immediately upon Gov. Gavin Newsom’s signature, rather than the customary first day of the new year, and then repeal it if voters approved the Prop 47 reform measure. 

    It was a crafty, if cynical, strategy that effectively left ballot measure supporters with a choice: Either they could support the package of bills, which were all but guaranteed to become law in a matter of weeks, or they could take their chances with the ballot measure, which voters might or might not approve and which would require millions of dollars in campaign funding.

    Click through to the Comicle piece for all the dirty little moves, the virtue signaling about "mass incarceration", demonizing district attorneys and whatever else our betters in Sac who have the super majority can throw against the wall.  It really is appalling.

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